The Golden Report

Thoughts. Musings. Observations. Insight. The Golden Report.

Monday, October 6, 2008

Early Poll Update-Monday

“The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Barack Obama attracting 52% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. This is the highest level of support ever recorded for Obama and is his largest lead of the year. It also continues a remarkable twenty-five days in a row where the Democrat's support has never declined by even a single point”

 

RASMUSSEN (above): Obama 52/McCain 44

 

Diageo/Hotline: Obama 47/McCain 41/Undecided 10

 

New Mexico (Albuquerque Journal): Obama 45/McCain 45

 

Tonight at 6pm: RASMUSSEN/Fox News Swing State polls, including Missouri, Ohio, Florida, Virginia & Colorado as well as an Electoral College Update

 

Still to come today: Gallup Polling at 1pm  

 

Fw: What they don't want to talk about

Adding on to today's report, and as Mike Allen moved on Politico a few hours ago--this e-mail just came across from the Obama Campaign. It is an important, and early week conversation-driving development in the campaign.

Sent via Blackberry Wireless Device


From: "David Plouffe, BarackObama.com" <info@barackobama.com>
Date: Mon, 6 Oct 2008 01:06:41 -0400
To: Chris Golden<chrisgolden07@hotmail.com>
Subject: What they don't want to talk about

Chris -- Watch the video

Over the weekend, John McCain's top adviser announced their plan to stop engaging in a debate over the economy and "turn the page" to more direct, personal attacks on Barack Obama.

In the middle of the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression, they want to change the subject from the central question of this election. Perhaps because the policies McCain supported these past eight years and wants to continue are pretty hard to defend.

But it's not just McCain's role in the current crisis that they're avoiding. The backward economic philosophy and culture of corruption that helped create the current crisis are looking more and more like the other major financial crisis of our time.

During the savings and loan crisis of the late '80s and early '90s, McCain's political favors and aggressive support for deregulation put him at the center of the fall of Lincoln Savings and Loan, one of the largest in the country. More than 23,000 investors lost their savings. Overall, the savings and loan crisis required the federal government to bail out the savings of hundreds of thousands of families and ultimately cost American taxpayers $124 billion.

Sound familiar?

In that crisis, John McCain and his political patron, Charles Keating, played central roles that ultimately landed Keating in jail for fraud and McCain in front of the Senate Ethics Committee. The McCain campaign has tried to avoid talking about the scandal, but with so many parallels to the current crisis, McCain's Keating history is relevant and voters deserve to know the facts -- and see for themselves the pattern of poor judgment by John McCain.

So at noon Eastern on Monday, October 6th, we're releasing a 13-minute documentary about the scandal called "Keating Economics: John McCain and the Making of a Financial Crisis" -- it will be available at KeatingEconomics.com, along with background information that every voter should know.

Watch a preview right now and share it with your friends.

The point of the film and the web site is that John McCain still hasn't learned his lesson.

And this time, McCain's bankrupt economic philosophy has put our economy at the brink of collapse and put millions of Americans at risk of losing their homes.

Watch the video to see why John McCain's failed philosophy and poor judgment is a recipe for deepening the crisis:

http://my.barackobama.com/keatingvideo

It's no wonder John McCain would rather spend the last month of this election smearing Barack's character instead of talking about the top priority issue for voters.

But if we work together, we can make sure the focus stays on the economy -- and how to fix it.

Please forward this email to everyone you know.

Thanks,

David

David Plouffe
Campaign Manager
Obama for America

P.S. -- The documentary will be live at noon Eastern on Monday, October 6th at www.KeatingEconomics.com.


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This email was sent to: chrisgolden07@hotmail.com

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The Golden Report for Sunday October 05

The highlight of today's report is this story--potentially what Obama will use to hit McCain with next.

 

The Obama Strategy: preempt whatever is coming with William Ayers, etc. with ties connecting McCain to Keating.

Downfalls to this: this  story happened a long time ago, there is no new information.

The benefits: Obama has control of the race right now--the wind is at his back. He can control the message, so he should. McCain has low poll numbers--so capitalize on that and make them lower. That's what Paul Begala said on Meet the Press this morning, that it isn't good enough for the Democratic Party just to have a rapid response, we have to have rapid attack. Even if Obama succeeds in getting McCain tied to this story for five, seven, or ten days--that’s five, seven or ten days closer to the election. Also, timing wise, it brings us up to the Troopergate Decision in Alaska--could that have the potential to be an October distraction of a week or more? Keep that on your radar screen.

 

And a note about the rumors that we have heard all weekend, beginning late last week, about this forthcoming, upcoming, to be determined, big new strategy from John McCain to hit Obama and tie him with his past associations. I've even heard about it from some people who I would describe as mild followers of the race, they've called it "McCain's new strategy." The campaign hasn't started it yet. They haven't launched an ad. They really haven't gone on the attack (at least from their running mate--who is down tomorrow in Sedona with debate prep--and they've only sent Sarah Palin on the attack--to California (not going to get many votes there) and Nebraska which we discussed. Is it possible that the McCain strategy is to start a negative campaign without actually doing anything, or spending any money? They succeeded in getting questions about Obama's past associations raised on all of the Sunday shows today. On the flip side, they also succeeded in getting questions raised about the merits of this "new strategy," which earned the ire of some Republicans such as Mike Murphy also on Meet. But, if this is indeed their strategy, then it is very shrewd and very smart. Of course, it could all be part of the planned rollout to Tuesday's debate in Nashville. But even that doesn't make too much sense because it is a town hall meeting, and being involved in engaging conversations in front of a live audience of voters is not usually the most conducive place to start a final, vicious, frontal attack on your opponent, especially since at least 33% of the audience at Belmont will be self-described (maybe even registered?) Independents.